Tuesday, 19 May 2009

A “Disgusting” Episode of Distorted Evidence

Arthur Cowley and David Edgar
Note Mr Edgar’s body language: “Get me out of here?”

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The Interesting Whiteboard & “New Witnesses”

Messrs Edgar and Cowley have not named the supposedly new witnesses but screenshots from the Channel 4 programme shows that they are:

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The Sightings White Board

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The whiteboard lists three supposedly independent sightings on Wednesday 2nd May 2007 implying that “Pimple Man” was lurking for a period of almost 4 hours on that critical day but making himself obvious. This “evidence” is misleading because Mr Flack was not sure whether the date was 2nd or 3rd May 2007. Mr Edgar and Mr Cowley seem to have dramatically improved Mr Flack’s statement by arbitrarily removing his uncertainty and thereby making the suspicions much more dramatic.
It should also be noted that the whiteboard does not refer to the sighting by the Irish family. This is strange when it featured so strongly in the Channel 4 program.
Mr Edgar (frame 16.36 of 47.57 of the Channel 4 program) states that sighting 3 (by Tasmin Sillence) is the most important (besides Jane Tanner’s) “because it links them”. Mr Edgar implies that all of the witnesses saw the same person (ie “Pimple Man”) watching the McCanns’ apartment and states at frame 11.24 that the abduction was “done by an individual on his own: most likely by an individual who has links to Praia da Luz which is why we have focused all of our efforts really on – most of our efforts certainly -on Praia da Luz”. Perhaps Mr Edgar changed his phrasing from “all” to “most” to conceal the restricted scope of his mandate and the fact that he is focused exclusively on an “abduction”. In any event, he confirmed his lone abductor theory in an interview reported by Dominic Herbert in the News of the World published on Sunday 10th May 2009.

Basics of the Sighting by Jane Tanner

Miss Tanner’s initial description of the abductor she supposedly saw carrying a child on the night of 3rd May 2007 was given to the PJ as follows:
Brown male between 35 and 40, slim, around 1.70m. Very dark hair, thick, long at the neck. (Noticed when the person was seen from the back). He was wearing golden beige cloth trousers (linen type) with a "Duffy" type coat (but not very thick). He was wearing black shoes, of a conventional style and was walking quickly. He was carrying a sleeping child in his arms across his chest. By his manner, the man gave her the impression that he wasn't a tourist.”
Her description has changed significantly over time, to the “Egg Man”, “Monster Man”, “Bundle Man”, “Cooperman” and “Nose Man”. She also picked out Robert Murat as the villain and maintained this allegation until withdrawing it in April 2008 in an interview with the Leicestershire Police. Miss Tanner’s abductor had long hair, short hair, wore glasses, didn’t wear glasses, had a nose or didn’t have a nose, had a moustache or was clean shaven. He strode “purposefully out” or “ambled along”. So it is not at all clear what Miss Tanner’s final position is but she obviously supported the “reconstruction” on the Channel 4 program and the image of the “purposefully striding Bundle Man”:

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Jane Tanner’s Sighting from “Madeleine Was Here”
Note the clothing of “Bundle Man” and the way he is carrying the child
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Whoever Jane Tanner saw (if anybody) on the night of 3rd May 2007, he is nothing like “Pimple Man” and thus for her evidence to have any credibility there must have been at least two people involved in Madeleine’s abduction. This conflicts with Mr Edgar’s theory of a lone abductor but supports everyone’s hero – Clarence Mitchell.

Attention to Detail

The Channel 4 program implies that Mr Edgar is not overly distracted by detail. One of the big problems with Jane Tanner’s sighting, and thus her credibility, is that she states that on 3rd May 2007, immediately prior to seeing the “person carrying a child”, she had walked past Gerald McCann and Jez Wilkins, another Ocean Club guest, who were talking on the very narrow pavement immediately adjoining Apartment 5A. She told the Leicestershire Police that, as she walked past them, Gerald McCann must have had his back to her as otherwise she would have caught his eye and would have said something to him. She said the same on the Channel 4 program, adding that she would have chided him, by relaying Kate McCann’s complaint that he had prolonged his check (he left the Tapas Bar at 9.05 and returned at just before 9.20) to watch the “footie”.
Gerald McCann strongly disagreed with Miss Tanner’s evidence and says he was standing, talking to Jez Wilkins on the opposite side of the road and that he did not see Miss Tanner walking by. Jez Wilkins told the PJ that as he was walking home, with his child in a pushchair, he spoke to Gerald McCann and he agreed with Miss Tanner they were on the narrow pavement on the apartment side of the road, but added that he did not see her. The northerly direction that Mr Wilkins was believed to have been headed suggests that during their conversation Gerald McCann would have been facing south and could not have missed seeing Miss Tanner.
Mr Edgar lightly dismissed these significant discrepancies by saying:
The most important thing, Jane, is not where Jez and Gerry were actually stood because there are inconsistencies in every major investigation. The only thing that matters is that they did not obstruct your view of the man you saw”.
This is sloppy work because the inconsistency undermines Miss Tanner’s credibility and raises the question of how she could walk within 18 inches of Gerald McCann, who was most probably facing her, and not even acknowledge him. If she cannot get this simple matter right, why is her sighting of the “abductor” to be believed? Also, the fact that on three occasions she walked within feet of the open shutters and window and did not notice them throws Miss Tanner’s powers of observation into further doubt.

Why Gerald McCann Disagrees

The obvious conflict of evidence raises the question of why Gerald McCann should disagree with Miss Tanner and Mr Wilkins and be so dogmatic that he was on the side of road opposite to Apartment 5A. To throw light on this, we have to examine the corner into which –slowly but surely - the McCanns and their friends have painted themselves:

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The Window of Opportunity
Red cells indicate doubts about the sequence and inconsistencies

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For this sequence to be even marginally credible, the abductor must have kept observation to make sure Gerald had gone from the apartment. Would he risk making a forced entry if Gerald McCann was inside or standing within 30 feet of the rear patio doors? It is more likely he would wait until he knew the coast was clear. This probability would further limit the “abductor’s” window of opportunity.
At one point Gerald McCann, probably realising the improbability of his timetable, suggested the abductor had been hiding in the apartment as he was making his check. He does not appear to have maintained this hypothesis which, given the size of the apartment and the fact he was in it for at least 10 minutes, is incredbible.
At best the “abductor” had less than 5 minutes to break into the apartment, snatch Madeleine and make his escape. And if the bedroom door had slammed shut when he opened the shutters and windows (as the laws of physics suggest it would) wouldn’t the sound have been heard by Gerald McCann if he had been standing talking to Jez Wilkins right outside the apartment? And wouldn’t the banging have wakened the twins?
Our forensic advisers believe a proper reconstruction would prove that the bang of the closing bedroom door is unlikely to be missed by anyone in the position Jez Wilkins says (and Jane Tanner corroborates) that he and Gerald McCann were standing. It would have been less audible from the opposite side of the road. Is this the reason Gerald McCann is sticking to his story? Is it because he knows Jane Tanner’s evidence (of passing him within inches and saying nothing) is incredible? Does he wish to leave open the possibility that the abductor entered through the patio doors, while his back was turned talking to Mr Wilkins on the opposite side of the road? Does he want to distance himself from Miss Tanner’s evidence, perhaps suspecting her alleged check at 9.15pm could be disproved by a cctv camera or other evidence? Or is he is being truthful? For the moment we do not know.

Defects and Spin in the Investigation

Interestingly the white board now describes Jane Tanner’s suspect as a “UK Male”. How the investigation team arrives at this conclusion is a mystery. She has never said this.

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The Whiteboard with lots of “UK Males”

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Also, the whiteboard shows Matthew Oldfield’s check as “MO says he checked 5A”. The use of word “says” suggests that even the McCann investigators have their doubts about him. But the main bone of contention with Mr Edgar’s investigation is his obvious dedication to the “abductor” theory and his failure to critically test the McCann’s story. This should have been his starting point. He told Channel 4 that there was no evidence of the McCann’s involvement: oh no? But where is there a shred of evidence that Madeleine was abducted? There is no evidence of the shutters and windows being forced, no marks on the bedding, or tiles, no fingerprints or DNA, no scrapes on the window sill, no footprints: nothing. The only fact is that Kate McCann’s fingerprints were found on the window in a position that showed she had opened it.

The New Witness “JW”

There is nothing in the CD released by the PJ to identify the witness “JW” who allegedly saw “Pimple Man” standing lurking (not “ambling along”) around Apartment 5A on Sunday 29th April 2007 at 08.00 and on Wednesday 2nd May 2007 at approximately 15.00. She stated on the Channel 4 program that she would describe the lurker as “very ugly”. This is not the most discrete description as it fails to exclude 90% of the world’s population.
Channel 4 (probably inadvertently because many names and details had been redacted) revealed that “JW”, who has two daughters, was staying at the Ocean Club. The reference to “apartment 1”, on the following screenshot, is not believed to be the actual designation but an indication that earlier in the document two apartments had been referred to (Possibly one occupied by JW and another by her friends)

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Screenshot Relating to “JW”

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It appears that in two statements (presumably made to Mr Cowley) JW was not sure whether she had seen “a suspect male ambling along” from a position in her apartment, from another apartment , tennis courts, pool or from the road. The information is further confused in the Channel 4 program because it implies that on two occasions, while she was walking in the street, JW saw “Pimple Man” standing watching Apartment 5A and not “ambling along”. Also the screenshot suggests a sighting by “JW” on 30th April 2007. This did not feature in the Channel 4 program.
Light was thrown on the identity of “JW” in an article in the Sun on 12th May 2009 by Antonella Lazzeri (another McCann close confidante) who stated:
  • She is a 36 year old mother of two: one a 3 year old girl
  • She rented an apartment 3 doors away from Apartment 5A
  • She reported her suspicions to her local police – in Wiltshire – in May 2007
Analysis of the Ocean Club Booking records indicates that “JW” may be Mrs J Weinburger, who travelled to Faro from Belfast on 28th April 2007, and stayed in Apartment “G4” (ie 3 doors away from the McCanns) in Waterside Gardens for seven days with her husband “P Weinburger”, a 3 year old daughter and an 11 month old infant. There is no trace of this family on the UK’s Electoral Roll, and no recorded directorships: this is fairly unusual for a British citizen unless there are security or other reasons for redaction.
However, a “Paul M Weinberger”, who works for Enigma Diagnostics Limited is now based in Porton Down, Wiltshire. This is a private company, founded in 2004 as a joint venture between the UK Government - through the top secret Defence Science and Technology Laboratory at Porton Down -and the private venture capitalists Porton Capital Technology Fund. Mr Weinberger was previously employed as Director of Business Development for Roche Diagnostics, the world’s largest diagnostic company. Mr Weinberger specialises in “in vitro diagnostics” and is a member of the Executive Committee of the “British In Vitro Diagnostics Association”.
Porton Down is an Executive Agency of the Ministry of Defence and the site is said to be one of the UK’s most sensitive secret government facilities for military research especially related to chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear (Here we go again!) weapons.
It is not certain that Mr Weinberger, of Enigma Diagnostics, is the man who stayed at the Ocean Club in May 2007, but it looks that way. Another link between the Weinbur or Weinbergers and Wiltshire is the fact that they made dinner bookings at the Tapas Bar with Dr Julian Totman who is also from Salisbury in Wiltshire.
Miss Lazzeri reported that JW, on returning from Portugal, in May 2007, informed her local police – based in Wiltshire (and thus a link to Paul M Weinberger in Wiltshire) who advised the Leicestershire police who
failed to follow up her lead. It was only when she received an emotional phone call from Maddie’s mum Kate nearly two years later (thus in April or May 2009 possibly to get a bit more spice for the Channel 4 program) that a photofit based on her description was put together…. When Kate asked me to help, I agreed immediately. But the police should have asked 2 years ago. It was only after Kate got in touch that the woman learnt two other witnesses saw an identical man… I can’t believe our three sightings weren’t linked earlier”
The problem is, which “JW” was not told, that the descriptions given to the PJ by the “two other witnesses” were nothing like “Pimple Man” and that their reports had been fully investigated, the suspects identified and eliminated. But failure to act on “JW’s” evidence adds to the Leicestershire Police’s record of tardiness in its delayed handing of the statements of Kate and Arul, photographs of potential suspects: not to mention a recent detailed report on the crèche records. Can any police force be that bad? Or was Leicestershire’s job simply to kill the investigation, possibly on Home Office instructions, whose political intervention – in such cases as Damian Green – are so worrying? And if “JW” attached any importance to her sighting why did she do nothing further about it for 2 years, especially when it might have qualified her for a large reward? And why did Kate McCann leave it until the last moment to call her? The bottom line is that “JW’s” “evidence” justifies very close scrutiny.

The 12 Year Old Schoolgirl: Tasmin Sillence

The next sighting, which Mr Edgar states is the most significant, was made by a 12 year old schoolgirl named Tasmin Sillence. Her evidence is in the CD (Volume III Pages 800 -804) where she describes the person she saw on:
  • 30th April 2007 at 08.00am leaning on the wall at the back of Apartment 5A (Point A)
  • 2nd May 2007 at 12.25pm standing on the pavement opposite the apartment (Point B)
as:
Caucasian race, light skin so he wasn't Portuguese but could be British according to criteria. Approximately 180cm tall, pale complexion, 30 to 35 years of age. Short hair, light shaved with a 1 cm length and fair but she isn't sure if it was blonde because the sun was reflecting and made perception more difficult. She didn't see the eyes because he wore dark glasses of black colour with the structure of a thick frame. He had a large forehead. Nose of normal size, a bit pointy and sharp. Large ears close to the head. Mouth with thin lips, she didn't see his teeth. Chin pointing up, which stood out on the face that she describes as sharp. No beard, no mustache: a clean shave. No other special signs except from some small pimples on the face as a result on shaving. He looked ugly, even “disgusting”
Miss Sillence said that the first time she had seen the man he had been wearing a sports style jacket of thin black leather, with a zipper and several pockets with similar zippers in silver. The jacket was open and she saw a white t-shirt with a dark blue label near the waist. She thinks he was wearing worn out blue jeans and black and grey sports shoes.
The second time she saw him he wore the same jacket zipped up. He had a pen with a string attached to one of the pockets.
In May 2007, the PJ prepared an efit based on Miss Sillence’s description as follows:

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The First efit.
Doesn’t look much like Pimple Man: does he?

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On 5th August 2008, Sara Nuwar, reporting in the News of the Word, stated that Gail Cooper had come face to face with Madeleine’s suspected kidnapper and, at the request of the McCann’s backer – Brian Kennedy – had produced an efit called “Cooper Man”.

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Cooperman”
Doesn’t look much like “Pimple Man”; does he?

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Miss Nuwar continues:
Two of her sightings were also witnessed by her husband. And we can also reveal that a NEW witness, a 12-year-old girl, has come forward to back up her story.”
For sure there are a lot of 12 year old girls in Praia da Luz, but was this Miss Sillence just trying to be helpful by agreeing to almost anything or is another 12 year old involved in this tragic case?
The PJ followed up Miss Sillence’s sightings which led to the identification of Michael Anthony Green (see Volume III pages 632 to 726. The PJ and Leicestershire Police cleared Mr Green of any involvement in Madeleine’s disappearance. However, all information relating to Mr Green was withdrawn from the CD at the request of the British police, who were concerned, among many other things, that information on British paedophiles should be protected. Don’t you just admire the way the British police protect the vulnerable?

Derek Flack and Christine Dale

The fourth sighting of the lurking “Pimple Man”, who appeared to be the owner of a white van, was supposedly made by a “couple from Cheshire” who can be tracked in the PJ files as Derek Flack, aged 64, and his partner – Christine Margaret Dale, who at the time lived in Ilford in Essex. (Volume 1 folio 145 and Volume 4 folio 833 et seq). Mr Flack described the man he saw at around 11.30 on 2nd or 3rd May 2007 to the PJ as follows:
1.7m tall, dark skinned appearing to be Portuguese, with a one day stubble, with short thick hair that stretched down to collar level at the back and wearing a solid yellow t-shirt. He appeared to be the driver of a white van.
Interestingly Mr Edgar’s whiteboards describe Mr Flack’s suspect as a “UK male” (not, as he said Portuguese) and the sighting he made as being on “2nd May 2007” rather than on “2nd or 3rd May 2007”. The McCann investigators say nothing of the fact that Mr Flack told the PJ he did not believe he could identify the “lurker” if he were to see him again. Again the evidence has been seriously misrepresented.
In an article in the “Daily Mail” on 7th May 2009, Vanessa Allen and Peter Allen, devoted supporters of Mr and Mrs McCann, stated:
A couple from Cheshire then saw the man on either May 2 or 3 staring at Apartment 5A, and standing near a parked white van. An artist’s impression of the man, commissioned by the “Find Madeleine Fund” shows a dark haired, heavily scarred man (ie “Pimple Man”)
So it appears that the “Pimple Man” sketch was based on the description given by Mr Flack and Ms Dale.
The Channel 4 program also confirmed, probably unintentionally, that the Cheshire couple were in fact Mr Flack and Ms Dale because when referring to sighting 4 they produced the plan attached to Mr Flack’s statement:

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The Plan Attached to Mr Flack’s Statement

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The descriptions Mr Flack gave to the PJ in May 2007 resulted in the PJ preparing the following efit:
Original efit Based on Mr Flack’s Sighting.
Doesn’t look much like Pimple Man: does he?
This led to the tracing of Barrington Godfrey Norton (Volume 3 folio 704 and 709) a musician living in Praia da Luz. The PJ and Leicestershire Police cleared him of involvement in Madeleine’s disappearance (Volume IV pages 833 and 834)

The Sighting by the Irish Smith Family

Although there is no mention of it on Mr Edgar’s whiteboard, the Channel 4 program referred to a sighting by the Smith family of a man carrying a small child on the night of 3rd May 2007. The CD issued by the PJ shows that at around 21.50 on the night Madeleine was reported missing, a large family from Drogheda, Ireland -including the father Martin Smith – was walking back to their apartment when they passed a man carrying a child
Location of the Smith Sighting
On 6th May 2007 the Smiths gave the following descriptions:
The man was Caucasian, around 175 to 180m in height. He appeared to be about 35/40 years old. He had a normal complexion, a bit on the thin side. His hair was short, in a basic male cut, brown in colour. He cannot state if it was dark or lighter in tone. He did not wear glasses and had no beard or moustache.
He was wearing cream or beige-coloured cloth trousers in a classic cut. He did not see his shoes and cannot describe the colour or form of the same.
The child was female, about four years of age as she was similar to his granddaughter of the same age. It was a child of normal complexion, about a meter in height. The child has blonde medium-hued hair, without being very light. Her skin was very white, typical of a Brit. He did not look at her eyes. As she was asleep and her eyelids were closed. She was wearing light-coloured pajamas. He cannot state with certainty the colour. She was not covered by any other cover or sheet. He cannot confirm whether she was barefoot but in his group, they spoke about the child having no cover on her feet. The individual did not appear to be a tourist. He cannot explain this further. It was simply his perception given the individual's clothing. He states that the individual carried the child in his arms, with her head laying on the individual’s shoulders to the right of the deponent (ie over the man’s left shoulder). He adds that he did not hold the child in a comfortable position.
Mrs Smith confirmed the above and stated
She did not see the child's face because she was lying against the individual's left shoulder in a vertical position against the individual. She appeared to be sleeping. Her arms were suspended along her body and were not around the individual's neck. She did not look at the child's hands and cannot state the colour of her skin. She believes she was white.
Members of the family returned to Portimao on 26th May 2007 and clarified their evidence – which Dr Gonçalo Amaral, who was then leading the PJ’s investigation, considered very important.
On 9th September 2007, the McCanns returned to the UK and BBC News showed them getting off an Easyjet flight. The Smith family saw the program and, from the way Gerald McCann carried his son with the child’s head over his left shoulder with hands hanging down, recognised him as the person they had seen on the night of 3rd May 2007. On 30th January 2008, Mr Smith made a further statement confirming -with 60-80% certainty – that the man he had seen carrying a child on 3rd May 2007 was Gerald McCann. Mr Smith’s wife corroborated his evidence.

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How Mr McCann carried Sean Jane Tanner’s “Bundle Man”

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The McCanns seem to have totally ignored the Smith family’s evidence for the past 18 months, and have never issued a photo fit of the man they saw. However, Metodo 3, the discredited investigation firm previously retained by the McCanns, spoke to the Smiths and did little but worry them.
When making the supposed “reconstruction”, Channel 4, if it was to maintain even the slightest veil of credibility, had no option but to refer to the Smith sighting. But the way they spun the evidence by suggesting it supported Miss Tanner and cleared Gerald McCann was disgraceful.

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The Smith’s Evidence as Portrayed on Channel 4

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It is thus no wonder that the two sightings appear to corroborate each other when Channel 4 used the same child and actor for both, dimmed the Smith scene into almost total darkness with strong back lighting -while improving that for Jane Tanner - and failed to accurately represent the way the family stated the child had been carried or what the man had been wearing. Another example of twisted evidence?
At the time Dr Amaral was dismissed, he was planning to return the Smith family to Portugal to obtain further evidence from them. His successor, Mr Rebelo, failed to do this and to this day the sighting is unresolved. There is nothing in the CD to indicate that Gerald McCann was eliminated as the man the Smith family had seen.
The Smith sighting, which was some 35 minutes later than Jane Tanner’s, was around a mile away from the Ocean Club, to the South and West. It is difficult to imagine that Miss Tanner’s abductor would have turned back, passing the Ocean Club, to be in a position where he was seen by the Smiths. At best, the two sightings, if either took place, are unrelated but the fact that the McCanns now link them, to support Jane Tanner’s evidence is disingenuous.

MORE ON “MADELEINE WAS HERE”

Total Spin and Total Blindness

Anyone would be forgiven for concluding that the Channel 4 program was a cynical and misleading attempt to sway public opinion in favour of the McCanns, against an incompetent Portuguese investigation and to applaud Mr Edgar’s great work and “new witnesses”. The program was pure spin with research conducted in Portugal by none other than my old pal Brendan de Beer and directed, in fact, by Clarence Mitchell! Its object was to promote the story of the McCanns’ innocence and their determination to find Madeleine and, of course, to collect further contributions to the “Find Madeleine Fund”. It was not the “reconstruction” promised.
In fact, the critical sequences involving the American comedy actress – Lisa Donovan – who, at considerable expense, played the part of Kate McCann was cut from the final version of the Channel 4 program because the representation of what Kate had done on the night that Maddie disappeared was not convincing and raised some doubts”. This is hardly surprising given that Mrs McCann’s story, which is analysed later, is not credible.
Also for the explanation given by the “Tapas 9” to be true:
  • At around 9.15pm, just after seeing the “abductor”, Jane Tanner must have walked within feet of the open windows and shutters of Apartment 5A. She did the same when she returned to the Tapas Bar at around 9.20pm
  • At around 9.25pm Russell O’Brien and Matthew Oldfield walked within feet of the windows and shutters of Apartment 5A but did not detect that they were open. Mr Oldfield did precisely the same when he returned to the Tapas Bar
  • At around 9.55pm, Jane Tanner failed to notice the open windows when she went to “relieve” Russell O’Brien, who was looking after their sick daughter, and he did the same when he returned to the Tapas Bar
Thus on seven occasions, involving three different people, we are supposed to believe that no-one detected that the windows and shutters of Apartment 5A had been forced “wide open” by the “abductor”.

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The Shutters of Apartment 5A
On seven occasions members of the “Tapas 9” walked within feet of these shutters and did not notice that they were open

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In none of the interviews with the Leicestershire Police was any of the “Tapas 9” confronted with this glaring oversight and it does not appear to have caused Mr Edgar to fret: strange, don’t you think?
The proposition that “Pimple Man”, was identified by five independent witnesses is an illusion that can only be supported by twisting evidence in a manner reminiscent of the worst of old-time British policing when suspects were “fitted up” with false testimony or “winged” by having words they did not say put into their mouths. Is it a case of spin being taken too far?

Kate Says Far Too Much

The most interesting facts to emerge from “Madeleine Was Here” are the opening shots of Kate McCann describing how she discovered that Madeleine was missing and how she knew “straightaway” that she had been “abducted”. This, and the Oprah Winfrey show, were the first occasions that Mrs McCann provided any detail and reliable sources suggest that Kate McCann’s cameo was a last minute alternative when the sequences filmed of Miss Donovan had to be cut.

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I did my check at about 10 o’clock, went in through the sliding patio doors, and I just stood actually and I thought all quiet and to be honest I might have been tempted to turn round and I just noticed that the door, the bedroom door where the three children were sleeping, was open much further than we'd left it and
Comment
The tone of her voice is spookily rhetorical: permission seeking rather than being confident and assertive. Forensic Linguistic analysis shows that words such as “just”, “actually”, and “to be honest” in historical narratives are usually associated with deception.
What appears to be superfluous information about entering through the patio doors is very important because it pre-empts questions about Kate McCann not seeing the open bedroom windows as she walked past them to enter the apartment through the front door. In his original statement to the PJ, Gerald McCann said that his wife had entered the apartment through the front door.
Forensic Linguists also recognise the importance of thought processes. Liars frequently introduce these, unnecessarily, to give themselves time to think and to avoid commitment. Kate McCann refers to a lot of thought processes, mainly when addressing to topics directly related to the critical events on 3rd May 2007. Under stress, Gerald McCann pulls his right ear lobe
Mrs McCann’s observation that “the door…. was open much further than we’d left it” was supposedly the reason she decided to check further. Yet at the time she had every reason to suppose that Matt Oldfield or Gerald had opened it when they carried out their checks. Thus her thought process is not consistent with the circumstances and are possibly drawn from imagination (usually untruthful), rather than from memory (usually truthful)
Further if the abductor had “jemmied” the shutters, as she, her husband and relatives originally stated, it is most likely that the door would have been blown closed before Kate McCann’s arrival at 10.00pm. Further, how could the curtains be static if the window was open and a wind blowing? Mrs McCann’s story does not stand scrutiny
In his Channel 4 interview, Matthew Oldfield implied that when he did his check at 9.25 (which if Jane Tanner’s evidence is correct was after the shutters had been jemmied, the window opened and Madeleine taken) the bedroom door was wide open (he told the Leicestershire Police it was 45 degrees open) and he could see the twin’s cots from the lounge-hallway area. He says nothing of seeing the curtains flapping wildly, as they must have been if the window was open.
The dynamics of Madeleine’s bedroom are such that if the door was at less than a 90 degree angle the strong draught (from a 17mph north by north-west wind blowing that night) would have blown it closed or caused it to oscillate: if the angle was greater than 90 degrees the door would have been blown open against the wall. But in all cases, it is inconceivable that the curtains would not have been seen flapping wildly during the whole time the window was open.
The bottom line is that if the draught was sufficient to blow the curtains – “whoosh” -when Kate McCann opened the door, they could not have been still when Mr Oldfield made his check or when she first looked into the room.

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Kate McCann
I went to close it to about here and as I got to here it suddenly slammed and as I opened it … it was as I suddenly thought I would look at the children and I saw Sean and Amelie in the cot and then I was looking at Madeleine's bed, which was here, and it was dark and I was looking and I was thinking is that Madeleine or was that the bedding
Comment
I went to close it” is what is known in forensic linguistics as a “non-action” and is therefore questionable. The change of tense (from past to present) within the same sentence is not consistent with a truthful recall of a past event from memory.
Is it likely that the twins would not have been woken by the slamming door or that Gerald would have heard nothing if he had been standing on the pavement right outside the apartment?
Kate McCann
I couldn't quite make her out and it sounds really stupid now but at the time I was thinking…. I didn't want to put the light on as I didn't want to wake them and literally as I went back in the curtains of the bedroom which were drawn
Comment
Self deprecating phrases such as “it sounds really stupid” or “I know you won’t believe this” are frequently associated with deception. Again note the switch to the present tense and the superfluous word “literally”. But more important is the phrase “went back in”. According to her statement she had not previously entered the room. Again imagination seems to be playing its part

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Kate McCann
Were closed….. Whoosh…. A gust of wind just blew them open… Cuddle cat was still there and her blanket was still there and I knew straight away…. She'd been taken…. You know
Comment
When she reconstructs the “whoosh” of the curtains, Mrs McCann is standing outside the room, yet her previous words imply that she was inside the room when this happened. Such discrepancies – between oral communications, body language and proximetrics- are usually a classic sign of deception

Kate on Oprah Winfrey

Kate McCanns’ account of the sequence of events was somewhat different: the important differences are underlined:
Kate: I went at ten and I went into the apartment and there was no crying. I stopped and there was no crying. And then I just noticed that the door was quite open
Oprah: Which door?
Kate: Their bedroom door sorry, and we usually have the door as Gerry said sort of not closed but ajar just so that a little bit of light gets in and it's not too dark in the room so I thought oh Matt must have gone in and left the door open
Oprah: Same thing he thought
Kate: Yeah, so I thought well I'll just close it over again, and as I went to close it over it slammed shut and I thought and it was like sort of you know a draught had caused it to shut so I turned behind me and I thought are the patio doors open and they were closed and I thought well that's strange so then I opened the door thinking I'll open it ajar a bit again and that was when I kind of looked into the room and when I just looked and it was quite dark and I was just looking and looking at Madeleine's bed and I was thinking is that her that I was looking for why isn't Madeleine there?
And then in the end I walked over and thought oh, she's not in bed and then I thought maybe she's wandered through to our bed and that's why the door's open so I went through to our bedroom and she wasn't there and then I kind of see then I'm starting to panic a bit and I ran back into their room
and literally as I went back into their room the curtains that were drawn over just "foooosh" flew open and that's when I saw that the shutter was right up and the window was pushed right open. And that was when I just knew that erm someone had taken her.
So I, I mean I ran to the window and I didn't know what I thought was going to see but I ran to the window and then I quickly hmm quickly looked through the wardrobes I had I suppose this temporary thought she was cowering in a wardrobe or something anyway she wasn't there and I just ran out and soon as... Oprah: was she in a closet, in a closet?
Kate: Yeah just in case, just in case she's hiding or something I don't know and then I just went flying out the backdoor and erm ran to Gerry and just as soon as I saw the table where they were sitting I just started shouting "someone's taken her, Madeleine's gone" you know and erm that's how it all started really but erm Oprah: Why did you feel immediately, I'd heard that you'd said "They've taken her, they've taken her"
Kate:....I didn't say that I said, said "somebody's taken her Madeleine's gone". Well from the way I found the room it was obvious because a child could not open those shutters and the window
Mrs McCann was not invited to explain why Madeleine’s bed gave the appearance to the PJ that it had not been slept in or why only her fingerprints had been found on the windows.

A Bit More on the Door and Windows

Forensic linguistics prove nothing but Mrs Mc Canns' story is incredible and defies the laws of physics:
  • If the window was open how come the door had not slammed before Matthew Oldfield checked and why were the curtains not flapping wildly when they looked into the room?
  • How come there is absolutely no evidence of an abductor entering or leaving the room?
  • Why are the only fingerprints on the window those of Kate McCann and in a position that indicates she opened it?
  • Why did Gerald McCann interfere with the shutters and window immediately he entered the room after Madeleine had been supposedly discovered missing?
Our technical advisers believe it would be impossible to simulate the sequence that Kate McCann and Matthew Oldfield gave of the window being open, the door half open and the curtains still. This is possibly the real reason that the sequences involving Lisa Donovan were cut from the Channel 4 programme and why the the McCanns refused to return to Praia Da Luz to take part in a proper reconstruction.
And if Mr Edgar is such a great cop how come he did not test Mrs McCann’s explanation because it is critical to everything else. It should have been his starting point, followed by an analysis of all of the documentary evidence, including the crèche records.

No One Prepared to Help

In another interesting sequence in the Channel 4 program, Gerald McCann acknowledged that his presence in Praia Da Luz had created hostility among the local population but he questioned how anyone (unless they had a “heart of stone”) could refuse to assist when a little girl’s life is at stake.
He conveniently overlooked the 48 questions, asked by the PJ, that his wife refused to answer including the last one which was
Are you aware in not answering the questions you are jeopardising the investigation which seeks to discover what happened to your daughter”.
Her response was
Yes, if that is what the investigation thinks”
And amazingly no where in the Channel 4 program was there any mention of the reward for Madeleine’s return. Now isn’t that a strange oversight by parents who are desperate, and will leave “no stone unturned”, to get their daughter back?

30 comments:

Kazlux said...

BRAVO!!!! Thank you Paulo, this is really excellent research.

gypsygirl said...

Paolo

Good article

Can you say whether BN and MAG confirmed and explained their presence in the area?


Can you say whether TaSi subsequently identified MAG as the person she saw? Can you say why her photofit does not resemble the MAG that we have seen in videos? Can you explain why MAG,(even though his details are removed due to all paedophile details being removed),was not brought in for questioning?

You say that the man Derek Flack saw was identifed as Barrington Norton. Has Derek Flack identified BN? I thought he indicated that he saw a younger man. On Duarte Levy's site, there is a photo of BN's vehicle with an inset photo of an older man. Is this BN?

Thank you.

Joana Morais said...

bravo, excelente trabalho.

astro said...

Parabéns por mais um excelente artigo de análise - o melhor de todos, até agora, na minha opinião.

Sem desprimor para os analistas, há aqui detalhes que QUALQUER pessoa com um MÍNIMO DE INTELIGÊNCIA E SENSO COMUM conseguiu concluir ao ver o documentário. Como é possível que o processo não seja reaberto de imediato, e os McCann imediatamente sujeitos a um interrogatório detalhado, e OBRIGADOS a participar numa reconstituição POLICIAL - mais os seus sete amigos, que deviam ser constituídos arguidos de imediato - todos são comprovadamente culpados de obstrução da justiça, no mínimo - isto apenas se explica com o tráfico de influências ao mais alto nível, e ao MEDO que o PGR e o Ministro da Justiça têm de fazer frente aos ingleses e DEFENDER A HONRA E O BOM NOME DE PORTUGAL, DOS PORTUGUESES E DAS AUTORIDADES PORTUGUESAS! Desculpe a profusão de maiúsculas, mas isto dá mesmo vontade de GRITAR!!!
Mas com calma e com paciência é que se há-de levar a coisa a bom termo, bem sei.
Mais uma vez, parabéns pela análise, e pela clareza e objectividade do artigo.
Até breve!

mariacpois said...

PAULO E EQUIPA:

Além dos parabéns,aproveitando todas as palavras já escritas e,por isso não as vou repetir,QUERO APOIAR ALÉM DOS SUPER AGRADECIMENTOS,SEMPRE!

EXCELENTE!


SHU

Anonymous said...

WELL DONE, all of you. This is absolutely brilliant! I'd buy the book if you ever get round to putting one together.

'The Cutting of Lisa Donovan' speaks volumes. I hope the Policia Judiciaria's antenna is up. Channel 4 just did the PJ's work on The Reconstruction That Would Never Be: they completely demolished the Kate Account.

It's one big act, but an act that screams criminal and should be punishable by law. So while they work on their ALPHA, I patiently await their OMEGA. The beginning and the end, with popcorn.

Meanwhile, keep up the good work Paolo And The Others :)

Cláudia said...

BRILHANTE!

Anonymous said...

I'm still baffled as to why the case was shelved. It's clear that the McCann's still have a good deal of questions to answer.

Regardless of rogatory letters and reconstructions requiring all Tapas 9... under the terms of being made arguidos, the McCann's were made aware that they would be required to return to Portugal when asked.

Why were they not forced to go back to Portugal whlst arguidos?


btw thanks for all your hard work - great article

SM Kovalinsky said...

This is a fine analysis. I do believe that by suing Goncalo Amaral, the McCanns will in fact set a trap for themselves.

Lionheart said...

Phenomenal piece of work there. Huge amount to digest, but it really leaves no stone unturned.
Thank you. What a huge effort some are making to this cause.

Lionheart said...

Phenomenal piece of work there. Huge amount to digest, but it really leaves no stone unturned.
Thank you. What a huge effort some are making to this cause.

Anonymous said...

FANTÁSTICO TRABALHO PAULO !!!!

Vou consagrar todo o meu tempo dispnível a traduzi-lo para portugues, para ter a certeza que o entendo TODINHO !!!!!!

Um abraço

Anonymous said...

What amazed me with the Channel four programme, was the emphasis now placed on ''listening'' Oldfield listened, Mrs McCann, was just about to be prepared to have just listened etc.

But back to Oldfield, he had previously checked\listened at the Childrens bedroom window around 9 pm. Why on this occasion did he go into the apartment ? had he merely listened at the window\shutter he would have seen
allegedly open.

Then why the cluster of checks:
9 Oldfield
9.10 McCann
9.3O Oldfield again, just McCann having chatted with JW had only just got back - why so important yet again to enter an apartment ?
10 Mrs McCann

And as you have recorded above, seven opportunities of someone walking across the car park and spotting the alleged open shutters & windows, between 9.15 until 10.

An abduction was always possible, with the door left open and the children unattended. Yet it is impossible to see how it could have happened within the window of opportunity, outlined by the McCanns.... yet increasingly they are are distancing themselves from the Panorama theory: he was hiding\already in the apartment.

Channel four basically avoided any of the main issues,
where the abductor was
and how it got out of the window, that would have been a nice piece of reinACTment.

Instead they made to main points IMHO - tied in JT's sighting with Smiths - and said the Smith sighting had allegedly involved Mr McCann but this had been ruled out by the PJ

And the only people on planet earth proactive in finding Madeleine was the McCanns (team)...

With thanks
meadow

Anonymous said...

Desagradabilissimos episódios desde que os TTsssssssss tiveram a péssima inciativa,a 1ª,de vir para cá.
Uma multiplicidade de outras afrontas iniciaram-se e têm continuado.

A DIGNIDADE DOS NOSSOS MANTEM-SE,POIS SÃO GENTE DE BEM !

Que tristeza enorme tanta escumalha misturada por aí.

DIGNIDADE,DIGNIDADE,DIGNIDADE,DIGNIDADE,
DIGNIDADE SENHORES DA JUSTIÇA!

Maldito o dia em que os Tssssssssss de lá e de cá se cruzaram no caminho DE UM HOMEM DE BEM!

S.O.

Anonymous said...

Infelizmente tem sido possível seres procriarem e de seguida negligenciar completamente,a ponto de permitir que tudo de mau aconteça às desgraçadas crianças cuja maior infelicidade foi nascer ali com aqueles abjectos seres.Ao ponto de chegarem à morte.

Depois,os que investigam e descortinam o que se passou tornam-se alvos a abater de criminosos profissionalizados.

As pessoas honestas e cumpridoras

ao cruzarem-se com gentalha/escumalha seja qual for o seu estauto socio-económico(veja-se os Mcs e os Ciprianos),

vêem-se atingidos e perseguidos .
Tanta injustiça.Tanto horror.

HAJA DIGNIDADE!
DIGNIDADE JÁ AS BOAS PESSOAS A TÊM!

Revoltada.

Anonymous said...

Infelizmente tem sido possível seres procriarem e de seguida negligenciar completamente,a ponto de permitir que tudo de mau aconteça às desgraçadas crianças cuja maior infelicidade foi nascer ali com aqueles abjectos seres.Ao ponto de chegarem à morte.

Depois,os que investigam e descortinam o que se passou tornam-se alvos a abater de criminosos profissionalizados.

As pessoas honestas e cumpridoras

ao cruzarem-se com gentalha/escumalha seja qual for o seu estauto socio-económico(veja-se os Mcs e os Ciprianos),

vêem-se atingidos e perseguidos .
Tanta injustiça.Tanto horror.

HAJA DIGNIDADE!
DIGNIDADE JÁ AS BOAS PESSOAS A TÊM!

Revoltada.

Anonymous said...

http://manuelcarballal.blogspot.com/2007/03/deduccin-intuicin-y-experiencia-en-el.html

Anonymous said...

Retirado do Hasta esta referência:

"ha repetido durante años a todos los alumnos que han desfilado por sus clases, fuesen policías, abogados o criminólogos, que la “intuición” es una de las mejores herramientas para un investigador policial. Más aún, en algunos temarios de formación de policías de la escala superior, como el “Curso de Metodología de la Investigación Policial”, se insiste reiteradamente en esta capacidad: “En las investigaciones policiales las hipótesis surgen de los indicios, vestigios, muestras, huellas, y de la intuición creativa del investigador experto“
em:

http://manuelcarballal.blogspot.com

shu

Graeme Egerton said...

A very interesting article, but I would question some of the points you make about Mrs. McCann's vocabulary. As a fellow scouser, I recognise a lot of how she talks in how I talk, ie "kind of", "sort of" and the use of the non action stuff eg "I went to close it" (Listen to any scouse footballer after a match, "I went to head the ball" or "I went to cross it". I wouldn't read too much into any of that. And if she does appear hesitant or not confident well, hell, she's had to put up with a lot. A lot of non verbal communication can just imply the person talking is uncomfortable or shy, rather than lying or guilty. Wikipedia gives a brief insight into the world of NVC. Still, some interesting points. Personally, I am keeping an open mind.

Anonymous said...

Absolutely excellent research Paulo and Co!!

Ambersuz x

Anonymous said...

Pois é Astro... o "MEDO que o PGR e o Ministro da Justiça têm de fazer frente aos ingleses e DEFENDER A HONRA E O BOM NOME DE PORTUGAL, DOS PORTUGUESES E DAS AUTORIDADES PORTUGUESAS!", será pela forte possibilidade de, se os British se virem contrariados, se se zangarem a sério, começarem a "vomitar" as informações que têm sobre certas individualidades da política portuguesa?


Rosie

guerra said...

Paulo, it's too bad that your article will never be seen in the British media. Astro, I'm as frustrated as you are, but given the current situation in Portugal and Britain do you actually believe this case will be reopened? In Britain you have politicians apologizing for having used taxpayer's money to pay their personal expenses. I'm surprised that no one is being prosecuted. In Portugal it appears that the government in power is trying everything possible to bring the Freeport investigation to a premature end. Both governments are corrupt.

The Portuguese Public Ministry (PPM) possibly archived the case because they saw that the obstacles were insurmountable, and that continuing the case would result in nothing more than wasting money. What I think they didn't take into account is that the McCanns would continue their efforts to give Portugal a bad name and to disseminate the Lie, or maybe the PPM just don't care. Countries spend millions on advertising to promote their country as a good place to live, to do business, or to vacation. How much of a financial impact will this negative publicity have on Portugal? I think the PPM should have showed some courage by saying that the case is being archived because of lack of cooperation from British authorities, but they chose not to rock the boat.

It's interesting that the findings of the dogs are completely ignored. The dogs did indicate that a corpse had been in the McCann's apartment and that the smell of death was in their vehicle. Logic leads one to conclude that the child perished in that apartment.

I don't think it's because of fear of being found out, that the McCanns are continuing this campaign of deceit. In my opinion, they are so well protected in Britain that they have no need to do this. They simply could be sick individuals that cannot live knowing that someone doubts their integrity or maybe they want to maintain this lie to assure a steady flow of income or maybe it's both. The question still remains as to why so many people are willing to make fools of themselves in order to maintain the Lie.

Lesly said...

You highlight many anomalies and questions surrounding Madeleine's disappearance.

I hope that UK journalists and the authorities will read this article and feel a sense of obligation to investigate further.

Thank you, Paulo.

piglet said...

Excellent Paulo, good to have you back :-)

guerra said...

Mr. Graeme Egerton, in light of all the blatant contradictions, the blatant interference, the blatant lack of cooperation, and the evidence indicating that an abduction did not take place, I beg to differ with you sir when you say you are keeping an open mind, it appears to me that your mind is very much closed.

Ricardo said...

Paulo muito obrigado. Excelente artigo!

Anonymous said...

Hi, just a small point, I think 'UK' male probably stands for UnKnown, not British.
Hope that helps

Anonymous said...

Irish abuse report is 'shocking'

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/8058224.stm

....."Hundreds of the victims moved away from Ireland once they left the care homes and went to live in the UK.

Many of those who are alleged to have carried out the abuse are now dead ...."
(more)

shu

Anonymous said...

Good article, but does 'UK male' on the whiteboard mean British, as implied, or is it shorthand for UnKnown male?

Anonymous said...

Dia 22 de Maio de 2009
o renascimento da ditadura
o calar a voz da defesa de Maddie
a submissao
a perversao
a corrupcao* o teclado esta de 1 maneira qq e estou com raiva*
nojo completo.
tipos paidos de classe media alta deram vos liberdade para continuarem os vossos crimes,pois aqui num territorio submisso e novamente colonizado e fascistizado, podem matar e abusar dos seres que procriaram.